Pakistan News Service

Tuesday Oct 21, 2014, Zul-hijjah 26, 1435 Hijri
Logo Logo
LATEST :
Pakistan News Home -> Top -> News Details

Iran nuke unlikely to start Mideast arms race

21 February, 2013

RIYADH: Fears that an Iranian nuclear weapon might trigger an atomic arms race across the Middle East are overplayed, a US security thinktank said on Tuesday, arguing that countries like Saudi Arabia face big disincentives against getting the bomb.

Western powers believe Iran is trying to develop a nuclear weapon under cover of a civilian atomic electricity programme, a charge Tehran denies. Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter, is engaged in a fierce rivalry with Iran and is seen in Western countries as the most likely Middle Eastern state to seek an atomic weapon if Iran did the same. Analysts have also said an Iranian nuclear weapons capability might persuade Egypt and Turkey to seek a bomb too. Israel, which has never declared its atomic weapons capability, is thought to be the Middle East's only nuclear-armed power now although Iran's eastern neighbour Pakistan has atomic weapons.

In December 2011, former Saudi intelligence chief Prince Turki al-Faisal said that if Tehran did gain nuclear weapons capability, Saudi Arabia should consider matching it. Riyadh has also announced plans to build 17 gigawatts of atomic energy by 2032 as it moves to reduce domestic oil consumption, freeing up more crude for export.

However, a report by the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) says that although there is some risk that Saudi Arabia would seek an atomic bomb, it would more likely rely on its ally, the United States, to protect it. "The conventional wisdom is probably wrong," the report said. Even if Saudi Arabia wished to acquire a bomb, "significant disincentives would weigh against a mad rush by Riyadh to develop nuclear weapons".

CNAS, based in Washington, was set up in 2007 as a non-partisan thinktank aiming to develop US security policy. The report's authors include Colin Kahl, a former deputy assistant US Secretary of Defense for the Middle East, and Melissa Dalton, a foreign affairs specialist with the secretary.

The difficulty and expense of embarking on a nuclear arms programme in defiance of international law and the wishes of the kingdom's most important ally, Washington, would be a powerful argument against such an undertaking, it said. Riyadh is a signatory to the nuclear non-proliferation treaty. Some analysts have argued that instead of attempting to build its own atomic weapon, Riyadh might try to buy a fully developed nuclear bomb from ally Pakistan. However, the report said this was also unlikely. "Instead, Saudi Arabia would likely pursue a more aggressive version of its current conventional defense and civilian nuclear hedging strategy while seeking out an external nuclear security guarantee," they said.

End.

 What do you think about the story ? Leave your comments!

Heading (Optional)
Your Comments: *

Your Name:*
E-mail (Optional):
City (Optional):
Country (Optional):
 
 
Field marked(*) are mandatory.
Note. The PakTribune will publish as many comments as possible but cannot guarantee publication of all. PakTribune keeps its rights reserved to edit the comments for reasons of clarity, brevity and morality. The external links like http:// https:// etc... are not allowed for the time being to be posted inside comments to discourage spammers.

  Speak Out View All
Imran - Qadri long march
Artilce 6 and Musharraf Trail
  Quick Vote Show Results
Question: "In view of the current situation do you think Talks with Taliban should take place only within the ambit of Article 4 of Objectives Resolution that defines our Common Purpose i.e. PM/ President down to all Pakistanis to work till we achieve the rights of Democracy, Freedom, Tolerance and Social Justice for all Pakistanis:"
Yes
No
 
Candid Corner
Exclusive by
Lt. Col. Riaz Jafri (Retd)
Dacoits make Edhi hostage, loot millions in cash, gold
PPP holds key for mid-term elections: Gilani
Suggested Sites