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Afghan negotiators optimistic over peace prospects

02 January, 2013

KABUL: A top Afghan peace negotiator said he was cautiously optimistic about prospects for reconciliation with the Taliban and that all sides now realised a military solution to the war was not possible.

Masoom Stanekzai said that the Kabul government hoped to transform the Afghan Taliban into a political movement. He predicted the highly lethal Haqqani network would join the peace process if the Afghan Taliban started formal talks.

Signs are emerging that the Afghan government is gaining momentum in its drive to persuade the Taliban to lay down their arms before most NATO combat troops pull out by the end of 2014, a timeline that makes many Afghans nervous. Members of the Afghan government, the Taliban and some of their old enemies in the Northern Alliance, which fought the Taliban for years, discussed ways of easing the conflict during a recent meeting in France.

"I think one consensus was that everybody acknowledged that nobody will win by military means," said Stanekzai, who was badly wounded in a 2011 Taliban suicide bombing attack. "Everybody acknowledged that we have to enter into a meaningful negotiation," he added.

Pakistan, long accused of supporting Afghan insurgents such as the Taliban, has sent the strongest signals yet that it will deliver on promises of helping the Kabul government and the United States to bring stability to Afganistan. Pakistan is seen as a critical state to the process after three decades of upheaval in Afghanistan.

Ten years of Soviet occupation were followed by devastating civil war and the rise of the Taliban, who ruled from 1996 to 2001. Pakistan freed four Afghan Taliban prisoners who Afghan officials said were close to the group's reclusive leader, Mullah Omar, and still had the clout to persuade commanders to pursue peace.

"Everybody should benefit," Stanekzai stressed. He added that in order to bring long-term stability, reconciliation efforts should aim to bring the Taliban and other insurgents into Afghan politics. "The purpose of the peace process is that we want all Afghans to be part of the political system," said Stanekzai, who studied at Cambridge and was in charge of disarmament in Afghanistan before becoming a senior member of the High Peace Council. Stanekzai also said, "This peace process should not just be a deal between a few people or between the government and the Taliban, but everybody should benefit from the peace process, and everybody should see a peaceful prospect for themselves for the future."

Meanwhile, some activists fear that the government will make concessions in order to pacify the Taliban that could hurt efforts to improve women's rights. Stanekzai said, "Afghan security forces had made progress but acknowledged that more work was needed to ensure they would be ready to take over when the US combat mission ends in 2014." He also believes a free and fair presidential election in April 2014 are essential to prevent any further conflict. The last voting was plagued by allegations of widespread fraud. "This is the time where we have to enter in negotiations to make sure that does not happen. But, as you know, politicians are always politicians. They are always in a power game," Stanekzai added.

The Haqqanis, who are close to al-Qaeda and have been blamed for a number of high-profile attacks on western and Afghan targets in Kabul, are regarded as a possible spoiler.

"When you go to a market you always use a brand name and then you sell your very low-quality product under that brand name," Stanekzai said. "We enter a negotiation with the Taliban which is the brand marketable name. The rest is easy," he added. Asked if he thought there would be a major breakthrough in peace efforts this year, Stanekzai said conditions had been established to make that possible. But he noted that Afghanistan was highly unpredictable. "Anything can happen. You don't know which direction these different actors will take," he said.

Stanekzai recalled how a man posing as a Taliban peace envoy kissed the hand of an ex-Afghan president and High Peace Council Chairman Burhanuddin Rabbani, before detonating a bomb hidden in his turban. Rabbani was killed instantly and Stanekzai was badly wounded.

End.

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