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Rudo de Ruijter

PakTribune Columnist

Independent researcher

Recent Articles

Energy crisis: Turning-point of humanity Rudo de Ruijter

Reader Comments

 

Clifford J. Wirth

United Kingdom

03 July, 2008

Peak Oil Catastrophe

This is an excellent article. I have this to add. Global oil production is now declining, from 85 million barrels per day to 60 million barrels per day by 2015. At the same time demand will increase 14%. This is like a 45% drop in 7 years. No one can reverse this trend, nor can we conserve our way out of this catastrophe. Because the demand for oil is so high, it will always be higher than production; thus the depletion rate will continue until all recoverable oil is extracted. We are facing the collapse of the highways that depend on diesel trucks for maintenance of bridges, cleaning culverts to avoid road washouts, snow plowing, roadbed and surface repair. When the highways fail, so will the power grid, as highways carry the parts, transformers, steel for pylons, and high tension cables, all from far away. With the highways out, there will be no food coming in from "outside," and without the power grid virtually nothing works, including home heating, pumping of gasoline and diesel, airports, communications, and automated systems. This is documented in a free 45 page report that can be downloaded and distributed/ emailed: http://www.peakoilassociates.com/POAnalysis.html

M.Saeed

Pakistan

06 July, 2008

Oil has Peaked

Oil peak and the War against Terror are interlinked. The ongoing moves of the lone super-power to neutralize the so called Weapons of Mass Destruction in the entire Middle East region is in fact, hopeless struggle to control the energy resources of the world. "West would not stop until they control the energy resources of the world". This was sternly stated by the then President of the US, Jimmy Carter, in his State of Union Address of April, 1977, continuing to add that, "--- all efforts short of war were needed to find new sources of energy to survive". He warned that, more energy was being used than discovered and early 80's would see the peaking of oil, meaning that, the downhill journey of oil based energy resources of the world would then start. Not heeding to his advice, successive US governments continued to plunder, resulting in a situation which Carter wanted to avoid. That is, "efforts short of war" to find alternative sources of energy. Situation which developed in the ensuing years was exactly as foreseen and transformed into the first Gulf War, mystically sanctioned by Bush Sr. on 9/11, in 1990. The trend continued and events of 9/11, Second Gulf War and the present War against Terror, are all links of the same chain. Iran and Iraq being the second and third largest oil producers in the Gulf, are, "Bull's-Eyes" for all Bush-Guns. With presently known oil reserves already peaked about two decades back and life of known reserves estimated to last not beyond next 20 to 25 years,( a contested estimate rejected by vested interests), situation is more desperate than anything for the US and allies. Imagine a single horrible scenario, when the entire oil based transportation system of the world( including air-travel) would completely become redundant due to extinction of fossil fuels. In this desperate situation, the Allied have discovered a ray of hope in a huge oil deposit located below Caspian Sea, which has been indicated by remote sensing technology through satellites. But, the gateway to that oil fortune is located in Iran/Iraq and by extension, in Afghanistan/Pakistan. Therefore, all the stories being cooked of "weapons of mass destruction", first in Iraq and Iran,and now in Pakistan going to Talibanization, based upon which, the Allied are resorting to all-out efforts, crossing Jimmy Carter's modest limit which he had fixed at, "Short of War". Our shortcomings are evident from the fact that, West is planning for its future, many decades in advance, while we are killing the future of our current generation by not attempting to cure even the ills of our society, which obscure the future of all generations to come. Under the circumstances, any attempts by the super-srtrong nations, towards ensuring economic survival of their future generations by all means, not caring for the sleeping Gulf, is better understood from the following excerpt from an article by Gheit. "Nestled into the heart of the area of heaviest oil concentration in the world is Iraq, overflowing with low-hanging fruit. No permafrost, no deep water. Just giant pools of oil, right beneath the warm ground. This is fruit sagging so low, as it were, that it practically touches the ground under the weight of its ripeness. Not only does Iraq have vast quantities of easily accessible oil, but its oil is almost untouched. "Think of Iraq as virgin territory .... This is bigger than anything Exxon is involved in currently .... It is the superstar of the future. That's why Iraq becomes the most sought-after real estate on the face of earth."

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